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I'm seeing a lot of anecdotal and non-seasonally adjusted analysis on GTA sales data the sub, so I ran through Feb numbers to see what they say (most March numbers will come out around mid April) (note: this is GTA data).
On Pricing For new homes, after 10 straight months of maintaining (on average) zero change on pricing builders finally capitulated and cut their average pricing for new homes in February 2023 (New Housing Price Index by StatCan). Keep in mind this indicator didn't have a negative month even during the depths of covid.
For existing homes, Teranet (which uses sales pairs), registered 324.74, putting the housing market at September 2021 values (seasonally adjusted). CREA registered a price of 1.05 million on their composite benchmark price, in line with July 2021 levels. On their Housing Price Index (HPI), Feb 2023 clocked in at 328.8, which is July 2021 levels as well. These are all seasonally adjusted numbers, so we can say that GTA housing prices are at summer 2021 levels as of February 2023.
On Income
We have had the fastest rise in mortgage rates in recent history, something we haven't seen in 20+ years. This refers to the *rate of increase*. Meanwhile, 5 year mortgage rates 5.81% are comparable to April 2007 levels (if the mortgage rate increases are NOT over) and to January 2009 levels if mortgage rate hikes ARE over. Mortgage rates last peaked at 6.81% in February 2008 and the GTA real estate market bottomed in March 2009.
Meanwhile, as of Dec 31st 2022, debt payments as a ratio to income is at 14.33%, a little bit lower than we were in 2019 (debt payments to income ratio peaked in Q4 2007 at 15.01%). However, if we focus only on mortgage debt payments as a percentage of income, it's 7.66%, the highest it's been in 20 years. GTA residents are paying more for their mortgages as a percentage of income than ever before, sacrificing consumption in other areas. So far the debt payments aforementioned have included principal repayment. If we exclude principal repayment and consider interest only, GTA residents are paying 4.5% of their income towards mortgage interest, the highest in the past 20 years, with the last peak in Q4 2008 at 4.47%. This tells a story: While GTA residents debt levels are high, they aren't abnormal. But they aren't paying down principal as much as they used to, meaning they are paying a higher percentage of their income towards interest than ever before (specifically mortgage interest), probably a result of longer amortizations. Most importantly this is Q4 2022 data, Q1 2023 data will surely be worse given the higher interest/mortgage rates.
On Supply
For Construction Starts, it's interesting that starts have not stopped (no pun intended). Feb 2023 starts were 4,226 units, higher than the annual average (3,500). Seems developers still see the current market price as lucrative
For Under Construction, we touched 100,692 units under construction, the highest number ever. Compared to Feb 2020 we were at 74,000 units under construction. Part of this increase would be due to extended time of construction due to covid related delays.
For Completions, Feb 2023 had 4,080 units come online, whereas Feb 2020 had 2,362 units come online.
I think there's an important story on the supply side, in that there is a large amount of units starting construction and under construction, so there should be a large amount of units completing over the next 24 months, higher than average. I haven't done much analysis on the demand side like population etc., but I would note that the foreign buyers tax, vacancy tax and mortgage rates are all major headwinds for demand and especially for foreign demand.
That's about it. Personally I'm bearish on Toronto real estate for the next few years, I don't forecast a big drop in price just low transaction levels until inflation catches up to seller's expectations. Properties are cash flow negative, investors can invest risk-free and maintenance-free for better returns. Buyers will need to have staying power. This is not a mom-and-pop investment market atm imo.

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Just saw this game ultimate edition on sale for about 20 bucks, wondering if it's worth buying for PS5?
I'm mostly interested in online multiplayer, how are the lobbies? I think it's safe to assume there's no cross play, worried that with the age of this game and ACC being out that it's probably dead.
My first racing wheel is arriving tomorrow (T300) so I'm looking to dive into more racing games and actual sims, been mostly playing F1 recently.

You frequently fill every position in your Amazon business as a seller, from CEO to janitor. Surely, this also applies to the marketing division!
Although the internet may be flooded with advice on how to promote yourself effectively, we have compiled a list of useful ways you may start promoting your Amazon goods and increasing your own sales right away.
Let's check out how to promote products on amazon.

Correct Your Pricing

Even without Amazons complexity and an open market where other Amazon sellers can compete with you, determining the proper price for your products can be challenging. Yet, if you keep a few important factors in mind, you may be able to avoid additional, more serious problems from developing.

On Your Website, Create Material That Is Product-Specific

There are virtually no restrictions on what you can market when you have access to Amazons enormous product selection.
Considering that you probably won't run out of products to sell, producing content specifically for your products can help you increase your affiliate sales.
For this, lists, gift recommendations, roundups, and even comparison-style pieces can be quite useful.

Make Your Amazon Product Listings More Effective

Ecommerce customers, especially those on Amazon, decide quickly whether to continue exploring a product detail page or go back to their search results.
What can you do to overcome this first barrier so that a buyer scrolls past the fold and genuinely considers buying your product? Make things simple for them to begin with.

Promote Products and Content on Many Platforms

Don't restrict yourself to just one form of advertising as an affiliate if you want to increase your earnings. The majority of your earnings may come from your website, but you can also promote Amazon products on social media and other apps.
The promotion of your affiliate links via email is prohibited by Amazon policy; however, you are still permitted to promote the affiliate content on your website as long as you omit the inclusion of direct affiliate links.
It can be difficult to oversee marketing for your own company, but if you use these suggestions, you will be well on your way to a sale.
Set up a call with the experts at Ecommphics if you're still unsure about how to promote products on amazon or need guidance on what to do for your particular brand. Go to the top of the search results with professional assistance.

We live in a townhome with a shared wall. The family on the other side is a man, woman, son (12-ish), and daughter (14-ish). The woman regularly yells and swears at her son.
Once in a while, things get really ugly, and the woman (mother?) all out screams and swears at her son. During a particularly epic screaming rampage, we we heard (and felt) what seemed to be a body thrown against our shared wall, followed by the son crying. Something similar happened again tonight, and we could hear the woman yelling something about how the son had been "burning" something in their house. During another incident, I heard what sounded like the mother slapping her son (like palm against cheek) followed by the son whimper-crying. We suspect that the mother binge drinks, as we've heard her vomiting in the bathroom on several occasions (which is right on the other side of our bedroom - yeah, crappy design). I was once married to an alcoholic abuser, so the binge/abuse behavior is familiar.
Nuisance notwithstanding (they also leave dog shit in their backyard for weeks, which REEEEEEKS in he summer at attracts all the flies; other neighbors in our development call their house "Mayhem Manor"), we believe this is a child abuse situation.
We know something is definitely wrong, and ultimately, we want to help the kids who shouldn't have to be in that situation.
Has anyone gone through something similar? What would you do?